Paul Murphy will top the poll in Dublin South-West - according to Newstalk Breakfast presenter Ivan Yates.

Sitting TDs: Pat Rabbitte (LAB), Sean Crowe (SF), Paul Murphy (AAA-PBP) and Eamon Maloney (IND).

The Anit-Austerity Alliance/People Before Profit candidate is well known in the area for his work opposing water charges, and that will be a hot topic in the constituency this election.

Voters will lean left, electing two Sinn Féin candidates alongside Murphy.

Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil will take the two remaining seats. 

The forecast comes as part of Newstalk Breakfast presenter Ivan Yates' series of election predictions. In the weeks leading up to polling day, he is calling the outcome for each of the 40 constituencies. 

Dublin South West constituency

This constituency has been newly expanded to five seats, taking in an additional 27,000 voters. 

There is no outgoing government TD for this area standing since Brian Hayes is now in Europe, and Pat Rabbitte is retiring.

There are 18 candidates running in the Dublin South-West constituency.

Predicted outcome

Yates is calling the result as one seat for the Anti-Austerity Alliance/People Before Profit group, two for Sinn Féin, one Fine Gael and one Fianna Fáil.

Two of those returned will be sitting TDs, with Paul Murphy topping the poll.

1. Paul Murphy (AAA-PBP)

2. Sean Crowe (SF)

3. Colm Brophy (FG)

4. John Lahart (FF)

5. Sarah Holland (SF)

Labour pains

Labour took two of four seats here the last time. This time around, Pat Rabbitte is retiring, and the other former Labour TD Eamonn Maloney is now an Independent. 

Labour is running two candidates - but pundit Yates does not see any wins for them.

Seats three and four

Fine Gael is running three candidates in this constituency; former President of Young Fine Gael Colm Brophy will take seat. 

Fianna Fáil historically held two out of four seats in the constituency, this year they are running just one candidate. Former city councillor and advisor to Tom Kitt, John LaHarte, will take a seat.

The unknown fifth

The fifth seat is not clear, but pushed to make a call Ivan Yates is giving it to Sinn Féin candidate Sarah Holland, because he believes it will go left.

However, Yates maintains Independent Senator Katherine Zappone could flop completely, or could take a seat and he cannot confidently predict the outcome for her.

You can listen to Ivan Yates' prediction on Newstalk.com's Dublin South-West constituency page.