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Central Bank upgrades forecast, tells government to stick to Budget plan

The Central Bank is urging the government to stick to its agreed commitments for Budget 2015. It ...
Newstalk
Newstalk

11.18 28 Jul 2014


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Central Bank upgrades forecast...

Central Bank upgrades forecast, tells government to stick to Budget plan

Newstalk
Newstalk

11.18 28 Jul 2014


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The Central Bank is urging the government to stick to its agreed commitments for Budget 2015. It comes amid increasing speculation that the coalition will impose less than €2 billion worth of cuts and tax increases.

In its latest quarterly bulletin released this morning, the Central Bank has also raised the level of growth it expects to see in the economy this year.

A GDP increase of 2.5% is now being predicted, which is a jump of 0.5%.

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But it adds that the budgetary plans for 2015 "need to meet agreed commitments".

The Central Bank says "the improved growth dynamic over recent quarters suggested by the National Accounts data is being driven, in large part, by a rebound in exports since late 2013. This would appear to reflect both some recovery in the output and exports of the pharmaceutical sector, suggesting that the impact of patent expiration on pharmaceutical exports may be easing, as well as the positive effect of an improving international economic environment".

But it also says that despite the on-going recovery in employment, consumer spending has remained subdued "with modest declines recorded in both the fourth quarter of 2013 and the first quarter of this year".

And it adds that more recent trends "offer some encouragement, with retail sales data for the second quarter suggesting that consumer spending may be picking up".

However Newstalk's business editor Ian Guider says officials are warning now is not the time for a 'giveaway budget'.


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