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Davy downgrades Irish economic forecast

Financial advisers Davy has downgraded its forecast GDP growth for Ireland this ye...
Newstalk
Newstalk

10.43 16 Jan 2017


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Davy downgrades Irish economic...

Davy downgrades Irish economic forecast

Newstalk
Newstalk

10.43 16 Jan 2017


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Financial advisers Davy has downgraded its forecast GDP growth for Ireland this year to 3.7%.

That's down from a previous prediction of 4% - the reduction is due to the impact of Brexit as export and manufacturing businesses are expected to face new challenges as the UK leaves the Union.

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The firm believes that the Irish economy expanded by 4.8% last year - that's down from predicted growth of 6%.

Despite this set-back, it still expects Ireland to have the fastest growing economy in the EU.

It predicts that house prices will rise by 8% as the Government's help-to-buy scheme and a change in the Central Bank's rules for mortgage deposits come into effect.

Consumer spending grew by 3.2% in 2016 - and is due to increase by another 3% this year, according to Davy.

Investment growth of 7.4% was recorded in 2016 - and is expected to come to 6.8% in 2017 as the property industry grows and FDI remains strong.

"It remains to be seen how markets will react to the UK invoking Article 50 in early 2017. A sharp depreciation of sterling remains a risk for export competitiveness," the report cautions, noting that it is unclear how the UK's exit from the EU will unfold.

We are expected to learn a lot tomorrow as British PM Theresa May delivers her long-awaited speech outlining how the UK will approach Brexit negotiations.


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