Award prediction season is now officially upon us
Yesterday saw the full line-up of the Golden Globes nominations, and today we're going to be going over the bigger movie noms with a fine comb.
Often the first step towards eventual Oscar glory, the Golden Globes are usually a little more laid back and a little more adventurous with their choices. We've decided to give them all a gander and take an educated guess at who will win, as well as looking at who should win, and talk about everything and anything that were unfairly snubbed.
BEST FILM (COMEDY / MUSICAL)
The Big Short
The Martian - WILL WIN
Trainwreck - SHOULD WIN
Was anyone snubbed? First things first, it's probably a little unfair to call The Martian or Joy comedies (we assume they're not being called musicals), but that's always been the way with the Golden Globes. While Trainwreck was probably the best comedy of the bunch, the award will probably go to The Martian because Hollywood loves giving awards to just left-of-center blockbusters. Highly regarded but low-budget comedies like Mistress America and The Lobster were ignored entirely, backing up the Globes' love affair with expensive movies.
BEST FILM (DRAMA)
Mad Max: Fury Road - SHOULD WIN
Spotlight - WILL WIN
Was anyone snubbed? Despite being decades in the making, if there's anything Hollywood loves more than left-of-center blockbusters, it's true stories about horrible events. Sorry Fury Road, but Spotlight has the upper hand there. No love for Sicario or Steve Jobs, either.
BEST ACTRESS (DRAMA)
Cate Blanchett - Carol - WILL WIN
Brie Larson - Room - SHOULD WIN
Rooney Mara - Carol
Saoirse Ronan - Brooklyn
Alicia Vikander - The Danish Girl
Was anyone snubbed? We had to double check, but this is a Meryl Streep-less year! How often does that happen? Anyways, Larson's performance is a perfectly calibrated showpiece, that unfortunately isn't quite showy enough for most awards-givers, which is why regular winner Blanchett will most likely win it. Charlize Theron for Mad Max, Emily Blunt for Sicario and Marion Cotillard for Macbeth were all left out, although to be fair, it's not clear who they would or should have replaced on the above list.
BEST ACTRESS (COMEDY / MUSICAL)
Jennifer Lawrence - Joy
Melissa McCarthy - Spy
Amy Schumer - Trainwreck - SHOULD WIN
Maggie Smith - The Lady In The Van
Lily Tomlin - Grandma - WILL WIN
Was anyone snubbed? Tomlin has only been nominated once before, for Nashville back in 1975, so she'll probably win out of a cumulative effect, but this really has been Schumer's year, and her performance in Trainwreck was beyond reproach. No love for Greta Gerwig in Mistress America, Olivia Cooke in Me And Earl And The Dying Girl or Mya Taylor in Tangerine, unfortunately.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jane Fonda - Youth
Jennifer Jason-Leigh - The Hateful Eight
Helen Mirren - Trumbo - WILL WIN
Alicia Vikander - Ex Machina - SHOULD WIN
Kate Winslet - Steve Jobs
Was anyone snubbed? Vikander was the greatest thing to happen to cinema in 2015, but despite being nominated twice, most likely the Globes will give it to Mirren, who has won twice before from eleven previous nominations. Nothing for Rachel Weisz in The Lobster, Rachel McAdams in Spotlight or Julie Walters in Brooklyn, surprisingly.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Paul Dano - Love & Mercy
Idris Elba - Beasts Of No Nation
Mark Rylance - Bridge of Spies
Michael Shannon - 99 Homes - SHOULD WIN
Sylvester Stallone - Creed - WILL WIN
Was anyone snubbed? You know what awards ceremonies really, REALLY love? Comebacks, and that's exactly what Stallone's performance in Creed is all about, and while he certainly does give it everything he's got, Shannon was electric and incomparable as the villain in the little seen 99 Homes. Shockingly, Michael Keaton, Mark Ruffalo, Stanley Tucci and Liev Schreiber were all passed over for their roles in Spotlight, as were Benicio Del Toro and Josh Brolin for Sicario.
BEST ACTOR (DRAMA)
Bryan Cranston - Trumbo
Leonardo DiCaprio - The Revenant - SHOULD WIN / WILL WIN
Michael Fassbender - Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne - The Danish Girl
Will Smith - Concussion
Was anyone snubbed? This should finally - FINALLY! - be DiCaprio's year. While he's won two Golden Globes before (for The Aviator and The Wolf Of Wall Street), he's never actually won an Oscar, despite being nominated five times. The big surprise is that after all the hoopla of Johnny Depp's return to form in Black Mass, he's been left out here. Ditto the screen-scorching turn by Jacob Tremblay in Room.
BEST ACTOR (COMEDY / MUSICAL)
Steve Carrell - The Big Short
Christian Bale - The Big Short
Matt Damon - The Martian - SHOULD WIN / WILL WIN
Al Pacino - Danny Collins
Mark Ruffalo - Infinitely Polar Bear
Was anyone snubbed? The two actors for The Big Short will cancel each other out, while Danny Collins and Infinitely Polar Bear are WAY too low-key to get any attention, so it'll be Damon's to lose, really. We would've liked to have seen Colin Farrell get recognized for his stellar work in The Lobster, too.
Todd Haynes - Carol
Allejando Gonzalez Innaritu - The Revenant - SHOULD WIN
Todd McCarthy - Spotlight - WILL WIN
George Miller - Mad Max: Fury Road
Ridley Scott - The Martian
Was anyone snubbed? So despite being nominated for Best Film, Best Screenplay and Best Actress, Room director Lenny Abrahmson was left out. Tarantino for The Hateful Eight and Danny Boyle for Steve Jobs were similarly passed over. Did these movie just direct themselves? Meanwhile, while The Revenant's near-mythically tortourous shoot ended with one of the best films of the year, we imagine the more straight-forward direction behind Spotlight will nab the award.
See if we predicted correctly when the 73rd Golden Globes takes place on January 10th 2016, hosted by Ricky Gervais.