If the local election results were to be repeated here, there would be no point in Fine Gael, Labour or Fianna Fáil bothering to show up.
Between them these three parties barely managed a quota. Mary Lou McDonald and Maureen O’Sullivan should retain their seats with some comfort.
The question is whether either Paschal Donohoe or Joe Costello musters enough support to save them. Their difficulty is compounded by the loss of some 16,000 voters to Dublin West and Dublin North-West. The loss of the Ashtown vote in particular will hurt Donohoe, but his saving grace could ironically come from Fianna Fáil transfers.
With Cieran Perry and Christy Burke both in the field, there are enough votes for three left-leaning TDs.
Ivan's take: Yates is calling the result as one for Sinn Féin, one Independent and one for Fine Gael - Joe Costello will lose his seat in Dublin Central.
Christy Burke (born 1948) was first elected as a Councillor on Dublin City Council for Sinn Fein. He resigned from the party three days after the local elections in 2009. He has made seven attempts to get elected to the Dáil in the constituency. He was jailed twice in the 1970s for membership of the Provisional IRA. He was elected Lord Mayor of Dublin in June 2014 and held the position for a year.
Joe Costello was first elected in 1997 but lost his seat in 2002, but was elected to the Seanad. He regained his Dáil seat in 2007. Married to Emer Costello who was co-opted to the European Parliament seat of Prionsias De Rossa, but failed to hold it in 2014. Joe Costello was appointed a Minister of State for Trade and Development in December 2011 but was sacked by Joan Burton when she became Labour Party leader.
Paschal Donohoe was elected in Dublin Central in 2011. He’d served as a Senator since 2007. After Lucinda Creighton left Fine Gael he was appointed Minister of State for European Affairs. In 2014 he was promoted to the Cabinet as Minister for Transport, Tourism and Sport. He’s facing a massive challenge in the constituency as nearly 3,000 of his first preference votes went to Dublin West in the boundary changes, as well as the constituency losing a seat this time around.
Fianna Fáil candidate Mary Fitzpatrick has previously served as a local councillor for Cabra-Glasnevin, and has unsuccessfully contested the last two general elections. She says she is a strong voice for Dubliners, focused on the areas of 'housing, waste, water, taxes, employment, transport, crime and the anti-Dublin local property tax'.
Gary Gannon was elected as an Independent to Dublin City Council (north inner city) in 2014. In September 2015 he was unveiled as a candidate for the Social Democrats. He is a graduate of Trinity College with an honours degree in History and Political Science, and has worked as a career guidance advocate for early school leavers.
Jacqui Gilbourne has a background in Nursing and community care. Her election focus will be on the old, sick and the vulnerable.
William DJ Gorman is from Donnybrook and is also running in Dublin Bay South
Kerry Guinan is an artist from Stoneybatter and she is campaigning for improved art facilities in the colleges and tax changes to make access to courses available to all.
Mary Lou McDonald is the deputy leader of Sinn Fein and was elected to the Dáil in Dublin Central in 2011. This was her third general election attempt (Dublin Central 2007, Dublin West 2002). She is the party’s spokesperson on Public Expenditure and Reform. She served as an MEP for Dublin when elected in 2004, but lost the seat in 2009. Member of the Public Accounts Committee in the 31st Dáil, she also made headlines for holding a sit-in in the chamber.
Cormac McKay is a Direct Democracy Ireland candidate for Dublin Central & Dublin North West. He works as a carer to an 85-year-old.
Maureen O’Sullivan was elected in a by-election in 2009 to fill the seat of the late Tony Gregory. She retained the seat at the 2011 general election. A teacher and guidance councillor, she was part of Tony Gregory’s campaign team for 30 years.
Diana O'Dwyer is an Anti Austerity Alliance candidate for Dublin Central. She is a "committed socialist" and women's rights activist.
Cieran Perry was elected to Dublin City Council in 2009 on his second attempt, and he topped the poll in the Cabra/Finglas ward in 2014. He’s a leading activist against the water charges and says his general election campaign will be for equality for all in housing, health and education. He is also prominent in anti-drugs campaigning.
Eilis Ryan was elected to Dublin City Council in 2014 as an Independent but joined the Workers Party after it re-organised in Dublin at the start of 2015. She is against the water charges, and says her decision to join the Workers Party was because the budget benefitted the wealthiest in society.
Ian Noel Smyth is an architect and urban designer from Drumcondra. He failed to get elected in Beaumont-Donaghmede in 2014 when he got 442 votes.