Taking a line through the local elections, Fine Gael and Labour should both win a seat. It is also probable that Lucinda Creighton has retained enough support to defend her seat, so it is another battle for the final seat.
Fianna Fáil will be confident as Fine Gael will struggle to get a second seat, with Creighton taking a chunk of their traditional base.
Therefore it is down to whether a combination of Sinn Féin and hard left candidates can have a sufficiently coherent transfer policy to overtake Fianna Fáil’s single candidate Jim O’Callaghan. However that seems unlikely, especially as some 8,500 voters have been transferred in from Terenure in Dublin South-Central.
Ivan's take: Yates is calling the result as one for Fine Gael, one for the Green Party, one for Renua and one for Sinn Féin.
Chris Andrews was a Fianna Fáil TD between 2007 and 2011, but left the party and joined Sinn Féin. He was elected to Dublin City Council as a Sinn Féin member in 2014. His father Niall Andrews and uncle David Andrews were both Fianna Fáil TDs, as was his cousin Barry Andrews.
Lucinda Creighton is the leader of Renua. She was elected in 2007 and again in 2011 for Fine Gael. Despite backing Richard Bruton in the failed heave against Enda Kenny in 2010, she was appointed as Minister of State for European Affairs by the Taoiseach. She resigned the position in 2013 and was expelled from Fine Gael after voting against the Protection of Life During Pregnancy Bill. She formed Renua in 2015 and is its leader. She’s married to the former Fine Gael Senator Paul Bradford.
Mannix Flynn has served in Dublin City Council as an Independent Councillor for the past seven years. A member of Aosdána, he claims to work for "positive social change based on accountability, good governance and transparency".
William DJ Gorman is from Donnybrook and is also running in Dublin Central.
Kevin Humphreys won a seat here in 2011 on his first general election attempt. He had been a Dublin City Councillor since 1999. In 2014 he was appointed as a Minister of State at the Department of Social Protection.
John Keigher is a barrister from Rathgar. He ran in 2011 and got just 27 votes.
Glenna Lynch says she’s ambitious for Ireland and is convinced the country can be great for all it’s people. In September 2015 she was announced as the Social Democrats candidate in the constituency. An interior designer, Glenna became a media star when she confronted the presidential candidate Seán Gallagher from the audience of a TV debate, questioning his ethics.
Alan MacStiofain is a student from Ranelagh.
Annette Mooney contested the 2011 general election getting just 1.8% of the first preference vote. She is a secondary teacher and nurse. She says she is not a conventional politician. She wants to abolish the water charges, property tax and USC for those earning under €50,000.
Eoghan Murphy (born 1982) was elected to the Dáil in 2011. He has an English and Philosophy degree from UCD and an MA in International Relations from King’s College in London. He was a Dublin City Councillor from 2009. He was a member of the so-called ‘five a side club’ of rebel Fine Gael backbenchers who often meet to discuss their position on various issues. However it is understood the group has now disbanded. He was a member of the Banking Inquiry and prior to that the Public Accounts Committee in the 31st Dáil. He is a brother of the Love/Hate star Killian Scott.
Jim O’Callaghan was first elected to Dublin City Council in 2009. He was appointed as the legal advisor for the Fianna Fáil front bench in 2011. He is a practising Senior Counsel in civil law since 2008. He is a brother of RTE TV presenter, Miriam O’Callaghan.
Kate O’Connell was elected to Dublin City Council in 2014. She’s a businesswoman, pharmacist and mother. She says she wants to see more supports for small business and greater childcare supports that are affordable.
Eamon Ryan is the leader of the Green Party. He was a TD for the Dublin South constituency from 2002, but lost his seat in 2011. He served as Minister for Communications, Energy and Natural Resources. He lives in Dundrum (outside the Dublin Bay South constituency).