With both Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil each guaranteed one seat, the question - as always in this constituency - is who wins the third seat. There has never been a TD elected here who didn’t come from either of these parties, and as Fine Gael currently holds the third seat they can expect a counterattack from the old enemy.
Fianna Fáil had the edge in 2014, but much will be determined by the decision of John Paul O’Shea to run in this constituency may well change the dynamic of this contest. O'Shea got almost 4,400 votes in 2014 but while about 40% of that is in the Cork East constituency, his presence will seriously impact the chances of Áine Collins - of 'Lapgate' fame - being re-elected for Fine Gael.
While another factor is the final destination of the Sinn Féin votes which equated to half a quota in 2014. Would they really want to help Fianna Fáil win a seat?
Ivan's take: Yates is calling the result as one seat apiece for Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and an Independent - Councillor John Paul O'Shea and current Mayor of Cork County - upsetting the apple cart.
Aine Collins was elected to the Dáil in 2011. It was her first election. She served on the Fine Gael national executive from 2007-2010. She was the only female Fine Gael TD in Munster in the 31st Dáil. She made headlines in the 31st Dáil when in July 2013 during a televised Dáil vote on the abortion bill her Fine Gael colleague, Deputy Tom Barry, pulled her onto his lap. He apologised for the behaviour.
Michael Creed is a full time public representative, first elected to the Dáil in 1989 where he was elected at each election until he lost his seat in 2002. He regained the seat in 2007. He served on the Fine Gael front bench, but went against Enda Kenny in the failed heave in 2010. Despite speculation that he had rehabilitated himself with the leader, speculation that he may get a Cabinet post in the 2014 re-shuffle proved to be false. He is the son of former Fine Gael TD, Donal Creed.
Nigel Dennehy is a community activist who has been involved with Sinn Fein since 2006. He says he wants to put the needs of ordinary people in rural Ireland ahead of those of self-serving elites. He works in the pharmaceutical sector.
Fitzgerald is a Kanturk based dairy farmer and claims to be contesting in Election 2016 so that he can be "a politician for every small farmer in the country.”
Shirley Griffin is an independent / People’s Convention candidate. She says she is a representative of the people and is against the water tax. She says democracy should be about the empowerment of the people and not the political parties, banks or vested interests. Born in Dublin, she moved to Ballincollig with her family 11 years ago. She contested the 2014 local elections but did not win a seat.
22-year-old Cormac Manning is a student from Ballincollig in Cork. He says he joined the Greens because most of our politics is suffering from short-sightedness. He says he wants to represent people and not look to the next election, but instead look to the future of the next generation.
Aindrias Moynihan was first co-opted to Cork County Council in 2003 and was re-elected in 2004, 2009 and 2014. His grandfather Jamie, and father Donal, also served as Councillors.
Michael Moynihan was first elected to the Dáil in 1997 and at every election since. From rural North Cork, he is a full-time dairy farmer as well as a public representative. In the 31st Dáil he was the party spokesperson on Agriculture, before taking on the brief of Communications, Energy and Natural Resources.
Diarmuid is part of the Independent Alliance. The Newmarket native has played a major role in the Ballyhea Says No’ campaign, against “the imposition of private investor losses on the Irish people”. He is also a parliamentary assistant to Luke ‘Ming’ Flanagan, and was previously a sports journalist with the Irish Examiner.
Steven O’Riordan is the brother of the disability rights activist, Joanne. He has decided to contest the general election as an independent, saying the country has been poorly served by the mainstream parties. A filmmaker, Steven wants investment in the arts, bridging the urban-rual divide, and more services for young people and those with disabilities.
Michael O'Donnell has replaced Alex Homits as candidate for Communist Party Ireland. He got 72 votes in 2014 Local Election in Cork City.
John Paul is the current Mayor of Cork County, having first been elected as a Councillor in the 2009 local elections. He is the first Independent Councillor to become mayor in the council’s history.
Jerry O'Sullivan is from Macroom and has failed to get elected in last three local elections. He has a 3-minute video and song highlighting his main issues of roads and flooding (see link above)